Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 76.401581 85.794045 95.384997 105.879612 117.009202 128.431419 141.011068
2025-08-10 62.274760 75.858462 90.338104 106.792366 124.849315 143.950127 165.573174
2025-08-17 52.671376 68.418131 85.765452 106.028241 128.799839 153.379553 181.703051
2025-08-24 45.895690 63.203587 82.835854 106.310643 133.212566 162.722586 197.200122
2025-08-31 39.668133 57.913174 79.207152 105.235335 135.599741 169.389015 209.343847
2025-09-07 35.733390 54.952098 77.946245 106.577508 140.469524 178.620158 224.161486
2025-09-14 32.552403 52.604519 77.158889 108.250006 145.532505 187.921222 238.934274
2025-09-21 28.629854 48.954440 74.495035 107.427103 147.460538 193.452337 249.264456
2025-09-28 24.585343 44.783600 70.894009 105.212990 147.525177 196.649721 256.762130
2025-10-05 23.520212 44.579728 72.281759 109.113229 154.900642 208.384926 274.144931
2025-10-12 21.970905 43.554072 72.499389 111.466896 160.340826 217.799926 288.801411
2025-10-19 19.495299 40.979668 70.514812 110.899610 162.103961 222.774577 298.195553
2025-10-26 17.087224 38.324496 68.311087 109.986672 163.420042 227.234322 307.041820
2025-11-02 15.411186 36.647921 67.348042 110.613882 166.607675 233.919354 318.517444
2025-11-09 13.490769 34.389810 65.436963 109.883084 168.002175 238.370102 327.282996
2025-11-16 12.048529 32.775940 64.342678 110.163452 170.620700 244.270253 337.753702
2025-11-23 10.385575 30.596375 62.301596 109.067108 171.403607 247.867500 345.415665
2025-11-30 9.491656 29.699420 62.097962 110.436903 175.334633 255.322722 357.724149
2025-12-07 8.751728 29.011193 62.161744 112.143899 179.683832 263.286588 370.649125
2025-12-14 7.523516 27.225724 60.450131 111.304062 180.655118 267.018028 378.407051
2025-12-21 6.149619 24.928369 57.804722 109.044124 179.679338 268.259386 383.080871
2025-12-28 6.060426 25.370650 59.528581 113.024817 186.982658 279.900437 400.502405
2026-01-04 5.693931 25.152858 60.162750 115.426444 192.180165 288.895123 414.687870